Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.967582 1.108683 1.262229 1.441602 1.645275 1.869234 2.134059
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.823859 1.030890 1.275421 1.584994 1.965915 2.418756 2.997425
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.679640 0.922974 1.233031 1.655699 2.215410 2.929619 3.908494
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.577418 0.846355 1.214045 1.750730 2.510979 3.545802 5.057184
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.475097 0.748524 1.148011 1.769692 2.707443 4.062605 6.161382
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.404049 0.680995 1.111395 1.822125 2.958048 4.692103 7.525238
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.332214 0.597202 1.033966 1.796945 3.084777 5.154562 8.709666
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.294119 0.561063 1.025455 1.879513 3.394464 5.945453 10.529391
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.265489 0.535489 1.029544 1.982799 3.753483 6.866413 12.697720
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.231482 0.492841 0.995029 2.009796 3.979976 7.589259 14.623683
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.200745 0.450214 0.952544 2.013413 4.161643 8.253825 16.533887
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.176144 0.415160 0.918391 2.026641 4.361927 8.977159 18.650144
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.154940 0.383726 0.887262 2.043206 4.576622 9.768044 21.031202
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.139548 0.362401 0.874101 2.096171 4.876275 10.771691 23.986029
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.122196 0.332725 0.836925 2.089247 5.045130 11.528402 26.533494
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.110735 0.315321 0.825144 2.138992 5.349065 12.615335 29.942342
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.096864 0.288572 0.785799 2.115503 5.478559 13.334352 32.632321
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.087485 0.272031 0.769115 2.145613 5.741883 14.393592 36.245450
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.075887 0.246527 0.724211 2.094752 5.795283 14.967008 38.790864
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.070861 0.239462 0.728068 2.175229 6.199289 16.441248 43.716825
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.067203 0.235841 0.740993 2.283182 6.693082 18.203248 49.588277
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.061148 0.223141 0.725228 2.306603 6.960198 19.423620 54.237633
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.055087 0.209001 0.702498 2.305616 7.158983 20.492244 58.631185